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DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup for the John Deere Classic

DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup for the John Deere Classic

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DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup for the John Deere Classic

Make sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. And if you’re not already, I’d love it if you’d consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my acclaimed ‘PGA Rankings Wizard Model.’

PGA DFS Ranking Wizard – The John Deere Classic

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PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

  • A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows users to create custom golf rankings and models using input. If you are considering signing up, check this out DIY guide of everything you can find weekly in my pre-tournament model. The sheet is full of sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
  • The John Deere Classic

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

  • Best H2H pick before the tournament: (104-60-9) 63.41%
  • All H2H’s before the tournament: (265-194-25) 57.73%
  • Total H2H’s since 2017: (518-361-71) 58.93%
  • Winners since 2017: 42
  • Units: +327,863 Units
  • All totals go into 2024
  • Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (updated statistics + user configuration option)

  • Here you’ll find updated stats for the specific tournament, all sortable and weighable if you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research daily DFS strategy proceedings or find straight or daily head-to-head bets. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 rolls around, including the ability to add your pre-tournament research for each day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head betting for rounds 1, 2, 3 and 4

Article about the leader of the first round

One & Done (Deep dive into possible options to consider)

  • 10+ million in revenue over two of the last three seasons while providing information for games. We’ll take an in-depth look at a handful of options to consider.
  • Click here to see an example

Latest DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool)

  • We’ll continue Monday’s article throughout the week and consolidate the selections into a more concrete group of players for everyone to consider on Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

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TeeOffSports Membership

Field

Field size: 156
Clip: Top-65 & Ties
Top 20 participants: 0

Last five winners of the John Deere Classic

2023 Sepp Straka -21
2022 JT Poston -21
2021 Lucas Glover -19
2019 Dylan Frittelli -21
2018 Michael Kim -27

Expected cutting line at the John Deere Classic

2023 -3
2022 -2
2021 -3
2020 -2
2019 -2


TPC Deere run

7,268 Yards – Par 71 – Greens Bentgrass

This week we discuss the course in my podcasts!

Let’s take a look at the statistics

Stands Deere run PGA average
Driving distance 285 283
Driving accuracy 70% 61%
GIR percentage 70% 65%
Scrambling percentage 58% 57%
Average number of three putts per round 0.49 0.55

Key Statistics

Let’s briefly go over how I built my model.

Weighted Strokes Gained: Total (30%)

Ball hitting (focused on TPC Deere Run) (10%)

Acquired Strokes: Total TPC Properties (10%)

Tricks won: Total score for easy to medium strength + short to medium courses (10%)

Weighted score (20%)

Easy Score + Putt 5-10 feet + GIR (20%)

Total number of top 10s from the seven categories: two-year running model

I’ll be going into more detail on what’s in these totals later in the week on my podcast. If you’re not already, you can follow along Bettor Golf Podcast on X.

First Look at Outright Bets

Player Chances Risk To win
Daniel Berger 80 0.085 6.8
Doug Ghim 80 0.085 6.8
Ryo Hisatsune 66 0.105 6.93
JT Poston 33 0.22 7.26
Aaron Rai 22 0.315 6.93

Golfers who place in the top 60 of the field for all categories + feature at least 1 T10 class

Fantasy Golf Lineup Selections for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Check out our other great articles about this week’s event.

Highly Priced DraftKings DFS Players

***There are four players priced over $10,000. Remember, my DFS article is always a first look at the field. Opinions can change as the week progresses, and I’m more than happy to talk to everyone further Twitter/X.

I do not believe that Jordan Spieth game is just as bad as my ranking for him, as I imagine he’s massively underowned in DFS play this week after earning the most expensive spot on the board. I’m not necessarily gunning to play him, as I see this as too expensive a route. For me, though, landing the cream of the crop in the $10,000+ range is Aaron Rai.

Rai ranked first in my model for all three iterations of general, safety and upside, and led the field with five top-10 returns in the six categories I covered this week.

While I expect Rai to become more popular, I can’t guarantee he’ll be more popular than Sepp Straka or Sungjae Im, two golfers who scored well on my list but fell short of Rai’s potential.

Did you know that RotoBaller is a Premium DFS PGA and Betting Subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code EXIT when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You will get 10% off and full access to all our Premium PGA articles, Spencer’s data models, DFS tools and Lineup Optimizer! You will also get exclusive access to weekly betting tips from Spencer Aguiar, one of the best betting minds in the industry!

Mid-tier DraftKings DFS Players

Reach $9,000

I will are on display Unpleasant Maverick McNealy, Davis Thompson and JT Poston.

I had a terribly a similar answer for JT Poston to the one we got last week with Min Woo Lee when my model also found an upside that beat the general view for his potential. That doesn’t mean his bottom isn’t a bit lower than some of his peers (an area in my sheet that did drop him to the bottom of my top 10).

However, Poston’s first place finish for Weighted Strokes Gained Total for this event had much more impact in terms of upside than any floor result, as in GPP competitions we are looking for ceiling potential.

Mid-tier DraftKings DFS Players

Reach $8,000

I buy the Lucas Clanton hype after the college product continued to receive a lot of attention well into Sunday afternoon during the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

I don’t have enough data to feel super I am confident that I will achieve good returns with the John Deere Classic. Still, Clanton has performed admirably several times this season, including a few weeks ago at the US Open.

Cheap DraftKings DFS Players to Consider ($7,000+)

Check out my model for everything in this section. There you will get individual rankings of all players and you can weight the data to create your own model when you make a copy. Please consider signing up for this tool that I am proud to share with the public!

I bet both Ryo Hisatsune and Daniel Berger inside the live market this week.

My model had the two in a select group of nine players who finished in the top 60 of all six categories I competed in, also finished in the top 10 of one of those stats.

I don’t see a big difference between the twoif we are honestwhich is probably why the duo divided the six metrics they assessed into three.

I play on both for all the positive sides of the market.

$6,000 Options to Consider

Patton Kizzire has the best stats, course history and current form of anyone in this $6,000 class.

His 11th-place finish, which he expected before hitting the ball for Deere Run, is a fine achievement for a player who has led the score from tee to green in four consecutive starts.

Favorite play per section (Monday):

$10,000+ – Aaron Rai
$9,000+ – JT Poston
$8,000+ – Luke Clanton
$7,000+ – Ryo Hisatsune and Daniel Berger
$6,000+ – Patton Kizzire

Fade-in by section (Monday):

$10,000+ – Not a natural fade. I won’t play Spieth at that price, but I assume no one else does. It’s hard to say negatively about that profile when he’s still rated as a top 30 player (albeit the highest ranked player on the board).
$9,000+ – Sam Stevens
$8,000+ – Seamus Power
$7,000+ – SH Kim
$6,000+ – Peter Malnati

Win more with RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller’s PGA Premium Packages include several smart analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our own Joe Nicely won a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And for good measure, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100,000 on FanDuel with help from Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the great Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we publish each week, and our Premium Slack community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups are finalized, RotoBaller PGA subscribers get the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

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